The largest German Bank is optimistic against the ruble. U.S. may ease sanctions against Russia in March-April 2017 on the background of positive statements by Donald trump about a possible cooperation with Russia in the middle East and “unsubstantiated” accusations of Russian hackers meddling in the elections of the us President — analysts at Deutsche Bank.
In their opinion, the probability of a partial lifting of sanctions is about 65%. Bookmakers would rate the probability of such a ratio of 1.53. In the world of sports betting odds of 1.53 is often estimated home victory of the favorite.
Due to the high probability of the lifting of sanctions Deutsche Bank optimistic about the rouble. It turns out that the probability of the lifting of sanctions is not yet incorporated in the current value of the Russian currency, the ruble has strengthened.
Experts also noted that rating Agency Standard & Poor’s to raise Russia’s credit rating in 2017 to investment grade ‘ BBB -‘; currently the S&P is the only Agency of the “big three”, which gives Russia’s sovereign rating below investment grade. In other words, even American credit rating agencies are forced to recognize the growing attractiveness of Russia for investors.
Earlier the adviser to trump, Kellyann Conway made the ambulance the abolition of anti-Russian sanctions because of their disproportionality. Another adviser to trump Anthony of Scaramucci said about the futility of sanctions, because the restrictions only Russians rallied.
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